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Creators/Authors contains: "Rasmussen, Kristen_L"

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  1. Abstract Global mean and extreme tropical cyclone (TC) precipitation have been increasing over the past few decades and are expected to continue to increase into the future due to climate change. Most projections of future TC precipitation use climate models with grid spacings of 25–100 km, which are too coarse to resolve the convective structures and small‐scale precipitation processes within TCs. This work uses convection‐permitting Weather Research and Forecasting model simulations to investigate how precipitation and precipitation processes change in the inner core (IC) and outer rainbands (OR) of TCs in response to sea surface temperature (SST) warming. The simulations are idealized, with single TCs initialized from weak vortices over domain‐constant SSTs. In these simulations, TC intensity and IC precipitation greatly increase with SST warming while OR precipitation increases slightly. A greater area in the IC is occupied by deep convection more frequently in the warmer simulations, while the deep convective activity remains relatively constant with warming in the TC OR. Mixing ratios of hydrometeors and cloud ice increase with warming in both the IC and OR, while the TCs' vertical circulations deepen, melting levels rise, and mean upward velocities strengthen. This work demonstrates how analysis of three‐dimensional storm structures can provide insight into processes that change TC precipitation in different regions of the storm, and future work will include applying this analysis to more realistic convection‐permitting simulations. 
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  2. Abstract Global satellite studies show a maximum in deep convection and lightning downstream of the Andes in subtropical South America. The Remote sensing of Electrification, Lightning, And Mesoscale/microscale Processes with Adaptive Ground Observations (RELAMPAGO) field campaign was designed to investigate the physical processes that contribute to the rapid development of deep convection and mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) in Argentina. A lightning mapping array (LMA) was deployed to Argentina as part of RELAMPAGO to collect lightning observations from extreme storms in the region. This study combines lightning data from the LMA and the Geostationary Lightning Mapper onboardGOES‐16with 1‐km gridded radar data to examine the electrical characteristics of a variety of convective storms throughout their life cycle observed during RELAMPAGO. Results from the full campaign show 48% of flashes are associated with deep convection that occurs along the eastern edge of the Sierras de Córdoba (SDC) overnight. These flashes are 65 km2smaller on average compared to stratiform flashes, which occur most frequently 50–100 km east of the SDC in the early morning hours, consistent with the upscale growth of MCSs off the terrain. Analysis of the 13–14 December MCS shows that sharp increases in flash rates correspond to deep and wide convective cores that have high graupel and hail mass, 35‐dBZ volume, and ice water path. This work validates previous satellite studies of lightning in the region, but also provides higher spatial and temporal resolution information across the convective life cycle that has not been available in previous studies. 
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  3. Abstract The Remote sensing of Electrification, Lightning, And Mesoscale/microscale Processes with Adaptive Ground Observations (RELAMPAGO) campaign produced unparalleled observations of the South American low-level jet (SALLJ) in central Argentina with high temporal observations located in the path of the jet and upstream of rapidly growing convection. The vertical and temporal structure of the jet is characterized using 3-hourly soundings launched at two fixed sites near the Sierras de Córdoba (SDC), along with high-resolution reanalysis data. Objective SALLJ identification criteria are applied to each sounding to determine the presence, timing, and vertical characteristics of the jet. The observations largely confirm prior results showing that SALLJs most frequently come from the north, occur overnight, and peak in the low levels, though SALLJs notably peaked higher near the end of longer-duration events during RELAMPAGO. This study categorizes SALLJs into shorter-duration events with jet cores peaking overnight in the low levels and longer 5–6-day events with elevated jets near the end of the period that lack a clear diurnal cycle. Evidence of both boundary layer processes and large-scale forcing were observed during shorter-duration events, whereas synoptic forcing dominated the longer 5–6-day events. The highest amounts of moisture and larger convective coverage east of the SDC occurred near the end of the 5–6-day SALLJ events. Significance StatementThe South American low-level jet (SALLJ) is an area of enhanced northerly winds that likely contributes to long-lived, widespread thunderstorms in Southeastern South America (SESA). This study uses observations from a recent SESA field project to improve understanding of the variability of the SALLJ and the underlying processes. We related jet occurrence to upper-level environmental patterns and differences in the progression speed of those patterns to varying durations of the jet. Longer-duration jets were more elevated, transported moisture southward from the Amazon, and coincided with the most widespread storms. These findings enable future research to study the role of the SALLJ in the life cycle of storms in detail, leading to improved storm prediction in SESA. 
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